Lower Inventories Underpin Prices Going Into Spring
Supply of pork in cold storage at the end of January was 10% lower than a year ago and like the tight inventory situation we experienced in 2021 and 2022.
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Supply of pork in cold storage at the end of January was 10% lower than a year ago and like the tight inventory situation we experienced in 2021 and 2022.
Pork supply has recovered, with slaughter over 2.6M consistently in the last four weeks. Since December 1 slaughter is up by more than 3% y/y, double the rate of increase indicated by the inventory survey.
In the last four weeks hog slaughter is down 2.3% lower than a year ago, and that’s after a 2.7M week last week. Spot supply has been tight following holiday and winter weather disruptions and it will take some time for it to recover.
Jamie Burr, chief sustainability officer at NPB, reflects on the recent FAO reports and how U.S. pork is committed to producing sustainable products.
Looking ahead, NPB remains dedicated to growing strong relationships within the foodservice industry. NPB is actively engaged in efforts to build trust and add substantial value to foodservice distributors.
Short holiday weeks and winter storms across the Midwest have impacted processing and resulted in tight spot supplies. Slaughter in the last three weeks has been under 2.3M head/week, about 300k head less per week than in early December.
Across the U.S., numerous pork products are being showcased in convenience stores, driving demand for high-quality pork and encouraging consumers to purchase pork more frequently.
Hog slaughter continues to outpace estimates and, based on the latest ‘Hogs and Pigs’ survey results, slaughter should remain higher y/y through the spring and summer.
As we wrap up 2023, Bill Even, NPB CEO reflects on the year and describes how your Board of Directors diligently focused Pork Checkoff dollars in a financially sensible way to add as much value as possible to the industry in difficult market conditions.
In the last three weeks hog slaughter has been near 2.7 million head, well above expectations. We estimate that Sep-Nov slaughter was 1.7% higher than a year ago, well above the 1% increase indicated in the Mar-May pig crop.